COSMOS 2491 DEB * DELTA 1 DEB

0.024% collision chance on 2025-06-15 20:06:49z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2491 DEB * is risking orbital collision with DELTA 1 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at June 15, 2025, 8:49 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.024%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 83.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-06-15 20:49:41z

CDM ID: 1054954122

Miss distance: 83.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0002432013 (~0.024%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2491 DEB * Name DELTA 1 DEB
45128 Norad ID 12203
DEBRIS Type DEBRIS
LEO Orbit SSO
81.21° Inclination 98.65°
SMALL Size MEDIUM
CIS Country US
Dec. 25, 2013 Launch date March 5, 1978
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2491 DEB * and DELTA 1 DEB.


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