M-4S R/B COSMOS 1816

0.193% collision chance on 2025-06-18 21:06:47z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

M-4S R/B is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1816. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at June 18, 2025, 9:47 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.193%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 445.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a rocket body

TCA: 2025-06-18 21:47:51z

CDM ID: 1056081254

Miss distance: 445.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0019282 (~0.193%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

M-4S R/B Name COSMOS 1816
5126 Norad ID 17359
ROCKET BODY Type PAYLOAD
LEO Orbit LEO
29.68° Inclination 82.92°
MEDIUM Size LARGE
JPN Country CIS
Feb. 16, 1971 Launch date Jan. 29, 1987
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for M-4S R/B and COSMOS 1816.


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