COSMOS 2251 DEB ARIANE 3 R/B

0.015% collision chance on 2025-07-12 12:07:14z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2251 DEB is risking orbital collision with ARIANE 3 R/B. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at July 12, 2025, 12:14 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.015%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 564.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-07-12 12:14:07z

CDM ID: 1079808263

Miss distance: 564.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0001472341 (~0.015%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2251 DEB Name ARIANE 3 R/B
37094 Norad ID 15562
DEBRIS Type ROCKET BODY
LEO Orbit MEO
74.11° Inclination 7.09°
SMALL Size LARGE
CIS Country FR
June 16, 1993 Launch date Feb. 8, 1985
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2251 DEB and ARIANE 3 R/B.


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