DELTA 1 DEB COSMOS 2015

0.012% collision chance on 2025-07-14 00:07:36z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

DELTA 1 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2015. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at July 14, 2025, 12:36 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.012%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 983.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-07-14 00:36:56z

CDM ID: 1080440264

Miss distance: 983.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0001228299 (~0.012%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

DELTA 1 DEB Name COSMOS 2015
19291 Norad ID 19909
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
SSO Orbit LEO
101.8° Inclination 74.01°
SMALL Size MEDIUM
US Country CIS
Nov. 6, 1973 Launch date March 24, 1989
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for DELTA 1 DEB and COSMOS 2015.


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