COSMOS 1275 DEB SURCAL 159

0.059% collision chance on 2025-08-13 02:08:28z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 1275 DEB is risking orbital collision with SURCAL 159. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Aug. 13, 2025, 2:28 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.059%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 110.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 1275 DEB in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-08-13 02:28:35z

CDM ID: 1115086683

Miss distance: 110.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0005905208 (~0.059%)

Last Updated: 3 weeks, 1 day ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 1275 DEB	Name	SURCAL 159
12952	Norad ID	2872
DEBRIS	Type	PAYLOAD
LEO	Orbit	LEO
82.96°	Inclination	69.97°
SMALL	Size	MEDIUM
CIS	Country	US
June 4, 1981	Launch date	May 31, 1967
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 1275 DEB and SURCAL 159.

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