SURCAL 159 COSMOS 1275 DEB

0.048% collision chance on 2025-08-13 02:08:28z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

SURCAL 159 is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1275 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Aug. 13, 2025, 2:28 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.048%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 106.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object SURCAL 159 in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-08-13 02:28:35z

CDM ID: 1115891942

Miss distance: 106.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0004808339 (~0.048%)

Last Updated: 2 weeks, 4 days ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

SURCAL 159	Name	COSMOS 1275 DEB
2872	Norad ID	12952
PAYLOAD	Type	DEBRIS
LEO	Orbit	LEO
69.97°	Inclination	82.96°
MEDIUM	Size	SMALL
US	Country	CIS
May 31, 1967	Launch date	June 4, 1981
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for SURCAL 159 and COSMOS 1275 DEB.

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