CZ-4B DEB NADEZHDA 1

0.040% collision chance on 2025-08-17 10:08:28z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-4B DEB is risking orbital collision with NADEZHDA 1. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Aug. 17, 2025, 10:28 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.040%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 238.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-08-17 10:28:49z

CDM ID: 1118758973

Miss distance: 238.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0003955461 (~0.040%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-4B DEB Name NADEZHDA 1
29216 Norad ID 20103
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
SSO Orbit LEO
98.81° Inclination 82.96°
SMALL Size LARGE
PRC Country CIS
May 15, 2002 Launch date July 4, 1989
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-4B DEB and NADEZHDA 1.


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