COSMOS 2251 DEB CZ-4C R/B

0.016% collision chance on 2025-08-30 21:08:06z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2251 DEB is risking orbital collision with CZ-4C R/B. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Aug. 30, 2025, 9:06 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.016%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 128.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-08-30 21:06:14z

CDM ID: 1132972230

Miss distance: 128.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0001592304 (~0.016%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2251 DEB Name CZ-4C R/B
35020 Norad ID 57798
DEBRIS Type ROCKET BODY
LEO Orbit SSO
74.05° Inclination 98.29°
SMALL Size LARGE
CIS Country PRC
June 16, 1993 Launch date Sept. 6, 2023
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2251 DEB and CZ-4C R/B.


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