CZ-4C R/B COSMOS 2251 DEB

0.016% collision chance on 2025-08-30 21:08:06z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-4C R/B is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2251 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Aug. 30, 2025, 9:06 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.016%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 128.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a rocket body

TCA: 2025-08-30 21:06:14z

CDM ID: 1133010299

Miss distance: 128.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0001592304 (~0.016%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-4C R/B Name COSMOS 2251 DEB
57798 Norad ID 35020
ROCKET BODY Type DEBRIS
SSO Orbit LEO
98.29° Inclination 74.05°
LARGE Size SMALL
PRC Country CIS
Sept. 6, 2023 Launch date June 16, 1993
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-4C R/B and COSMOS 2251 DEB.


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