COSMOS 1954 CZ-6A DEB

1.053% collision chance on 2025-09-18 17:09:22z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 1954 is risking orbital collision with CZ-6A DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Sept. 18, 2025, 5:22 p.m., with a collision probability of 1.053%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 32.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 1954 in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-09-18 17:22:26z

CDM ID: 1158103756

Miss distance: 32.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.01052948 (~1.053%)

Last Updated: 4 weeks, 1 day ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 1954	Name	CZ-6A DEB
19256	Norad ID	60816
PAYLOAD	Type	DEBRIS
LEO	Orbit	LEO
74.04°	Inclination	89.05°
LARGE	Size	SMALL
CIS	Country	PRC
June 21, 1988	Launch date	Aug. 6, 2024
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 1954 and CZ-6A DEB.

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