CZ-6A DEB COSMOS 1954

1.053% collision chance on 2025-09-18 17:09:22z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-6A DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1954. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Sept. 18, 2025, 5:22 p.m., with a collision probability of 1.053%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 32.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object CZ-6A DEB in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-09-18 17:22:26z

CDM ID: 1158184975

Miss distance: 32.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.01052948 (~1.053%)

Last Updated: 1 month ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-6A DEB	Name	COSMOS 1954
60816	Norad ID	19256
DEBRIS	Type	PAYLOAD
LEO	Orbit	LEO
89.05°	Inclination	74.04°
SMALL	Size	LARGE
PRC	Country	CIS
Aug. 6, 2024	Launch date	June 21, 1988
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-6A DEB and COSMOS 1954.

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