CZ-4B DEB COSMOS 2441

0.025% collision chance on 2025-09-29 03:09:05z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-4B DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2441. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Sept. 29, 2025, 3:05 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.025%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 513.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object CZ-4B DEB in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-09-29 03:05:08z

CDM ID: 1169872889

Miss distance: 513.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0002500363 (~0.025%)

Last Updated: 2 weeks, 6 days ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-4B DEB	Name	COSMOS 2441
56088	Norad ID	33272
DEBRIS	Type	PAYLOAD
SSO	Orbit	SSO
98.77°	Inclination	98.3°
SMALL	Size	LARGE
PRC	Country	CIS
Oct. 24, 2018	Launch date	July 26, 2008
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-4B DEB and COSMOS 2441.

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