COSMOS 2441 CZ-4B DEB

0.025% collision chance on 2025-09-29 03:09:05z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2441 is risking orbital collision with CZ-4B DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Sept. 29, 2025, 3:05 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.025%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 513.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 2441 in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-09-29 03:05:08z

CDM ID: 1169891099

Miss distance: 513.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0002500363 (~0.025%)

Last Updated: 2 weeks, 6 days ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2441	Name	CZ-4B DEB
33272	Norad ID	56088
PAYLOAD	Type	DEBRIS
SSO	Orbit	SSO
98.3°	Inclination	98.77°
LARGE	Size	SMALL
CIS	Country	PRC
July 26, 2008	Launch date	Oct. 24, 2018
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2441 and CZ-4B DEB.

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