CZ-2D DEB CZ-4C R/B

0.020% collision chance on 2025-09-30 09:09:04z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-2D DEB is risking orbital collision with CZ-4C R/B. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Sept. 30, 2025, 9:04 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.020%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 860.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-09-30 09:04:23z

CDM ID: 1171850395

Miss distance: 860.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.000198741 (~0.020%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-2D DEB Name CZ-4C R/B
44603 Norad ID 43278
DEBRIS Type ROCKET BODY
SSO Orbit LEO
98.54° Inclination 63.43°
SMALL Size LARGE
PRC Country PRC
Nov. 11, 2016 Launch date April 10, 2018
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-2D DEB and CZ-4C R/B.


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