CZ-6A DEB COSMOS 886 DEB

0.072% collision chance on 2025-10-04 15:10:29z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-6A DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 886 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 4, 2025, 3:29 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.072%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 40.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object CZ-6A DEB in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-10-04 15:29:56z

CDM ID: 1177445299

Miss distance: 40.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0007187021 (~0.072%)

Last Updated: 2 weeks, 1 day ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-6A DEB	Name	COSMOS 886 DEB
61382	Norad ID	9649
DEBRIS	Type	DEBRIS
LEO	Orbit	MEO
88.94°	Inclination	65.93°
SMALL	Size	MEDIUM
PRC	Country	CIS
Aug. 6, 2024	Launch date	Dec. 27, 1976
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-6A DEB and COSMOS 886 DEB.

Return to all CDMs

Newsletter sign-up

Weekly statistics, charts and insights to help you stay on top of the space industry.