JIELONG 3 R/B COSMOS 1408 DEB

0.031% collision chance on 2025-10-09 22:10:54z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

JIELONG 3 R/B is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1408 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 9, 2025, 10:54 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.031%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 46.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a rocket body

TCA: 2025-10-09 22:54:52z

CDM ID: 1184348577

Miss distance: 46.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0003108088 (~0.031%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

JIELONG 3 R/B Name COSMOS 1408 DEB
58507 Norad ID 49537
ROCKET BODY Type DEBRIS
LEO Orbit LEO
86.56° Inclination 82.51°
LARGE Size MEDIUM
PRC Country CIS
Dec. 5, 2023 Launch date Sept. 16, 1982
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for JIELONG 3 R/B and COSMOS 1408 DEB.


Newsletter sign-up

Weekly statistics, charts and insights to help you stay on top of the space industry.