COSMOS 2016 FENGYUN 1C DEB

0.058% collision chance on 2025-10-11 23:10:35z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2016 is risking orbital collision with FENGYUN 1C DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 11, 2025, 11:35 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.058%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 195.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 2016 in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-10-11 23:35:45z

CDM ID: 1184704136

Miss distance: 195.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0005839628 (~0.058%)

Last Updated: 1 week, 6 days ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2016	Name	FENGYUN 1C DEB
19921	Norad ID	30550
PAYLOAD	Type	DEBRIS
LEO	Orbit	SSO
82.97°	Inclination	99.05°
LARGE	Size	SMALL
CIS	Country	PRC
April 4, 1989	Launch date	May 10, 1999
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2016 and FENGYUN 1C DEB.

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