CZ-4 DEB COSMOS 2251 DEB

0.037% collision chance on 2025-10-10 17:10:47z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-4 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2251 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 10, 2025, 5:47 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.037%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 97.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object CZ-4 DEB in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-10-10 17:47:53z

CDM ID: 1184708059

Miss distance: 97.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0003692823 (~0.037%)

Last Updated: 2 weeks, 2 days ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-4 DEB	Name	COSMOS 2251 DEB
26202	Norad ID	46430
DEBRIS	Type	DEBRIS
SSO	Orbit	LEO
98.88°	Inclination	73.91°
SMALL	Size	SMALL
PRC	Country	CIS
Oct. 14, 1999	Launch date	June 16, 1993
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-4 DEB and COSMOS 2251 DEB.

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