COSMOS 2441 COSMOS 2251 DEB

0.032% collision chance on 2025-10-10 17:10:30z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2441 is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2251 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 10, 2025, 5:30 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.032%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 343.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 2441 in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-10-10 17:30:00z

CDM ID: 1184979315

Miss distance: 343.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0003232407 (~0.032%)

Last Updated: 1 week, 1 day ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2441	Name	COSMOS 2251 DEB
33272	Norad ID	37996
PAYLOAD	Type	DEBRIS
SSO	Orbit	LEO
98.3°	Inclination	74.07°
LARGE	Size	SMALL
CIS	Country	CIS
July 26, 2008	Launch date	June 16, 1993
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2441 and COSMOS 2251 DEB.

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