COSMOS 2251 DEB COSMOS 2441

0.032% collision chance on 2025-10-10 17:10:30z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2251 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2441. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 10, 2025, 5:30 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.032%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 343.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 2251 DEB in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-10-10 17:30:00z

CDM ID: 1184987478

Miss distance: 343.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0003232407 (~0.032%)

Last Updated: 3 weeks, 4 days ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2251 DEB	Name	COSMOS 2441
37996	Norad ID	33272
DEBRIS	Type	PAYLOAD
LEO	Orbit	SSO
74.06°	Inclination	98.3°
SMALL	Size	LARGE
CIS	Country	CIS
June 16, 1993	Launch date	July 26, 2008
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2251 DEB and COSMOS 2441.

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