COSMOS 2491 DEB COSMOS 1390

0.025% collision chance on 2025-10-15 08:10:11z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2491 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1390. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 15, 2025, 8:11 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.025%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 705.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-10-15 08:11:06z

CDM ID: 1188825435

Miss distance: 705.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0002477761 (~0.025%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2491 DEB Name COSMOS 1390
57557 Norad ID 13377
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
LEO Orbit LEO
82.48° Inclination 74.01°
SMALL Size MEDIUM
CIS Country CIS
Dec. 25, 2013 Launch date July 21, 1982
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2491 DEB and COSMOS 1390.


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