COSMOS 1275 DEB THOR BURNER 2 R/B

0.015% collision chance on 2025-10-15 13:10:15z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 1275 DEB is risking orbital collision with THOR BURNER 2 R/B. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 15, 2025, 1:15 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.015%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 126.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-10-15 13:15:29z

CDM ID: 1191254303

Miss distance: 126.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.000148924 (~0.015%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 1275 DEB Name THOR BURNER 2 R/B
42231 Norad ID 4513
DEBRIS Type ROCKET BODY
LEO Orbit SSO
82.76° Inclination 98.93°
SMALL Size LARGE
CIS Country US
June 4, 1981 Launch date Sept. 3, 1970
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 1275 DEB and THOR BURNER 2 R/B.


Newsletter sign-up

Weekly statistics, charts and insights to help you stay on top of the space industry.