COSMOS 2251 DEB ERS 2 DEB

0.044% collision chance on 2025-11-01 20:11:09z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2251 DEB is risking orbital collision with ERS 2 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Nov. 1, 2025, 8:09 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.044%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 48.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-11-01 20:09:26z

CDM ID: 1213397206

Miss distance: 48.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0004350657 (~0.044%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2251 DEB Name ERS 2 DEB
33907 Norad ID 35391
DEBRIS Type DEBRIS
LEO Orbit SSO
74.07° Inclination 98.6°
SMALL Size SMALL
CIS Country ESA
June 16, 1993 Launch date April 21, 1995
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2251 DEB and ERS 2 DEB.


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