ERS 2 DEB COSMOS 2251 DEB

0.044% collision chance on 2025-11-01 20:11:09z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

ERS 2 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2251 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Nov. 1, 2025, 8:09 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.044%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 48.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object ERS 2 DEB in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-11-01 20:09:26z

CDM ID: 1213399941

Miss distance: 48.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0004350657 (~0.044%)

Last Updated: 1 month, 1 week ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

ERS 2 DEB	Name	COSMOS 2251 DEB
35391	Norad ID	33907
DEBRIS	Type	DEBRIS
SSO	Orbit	LEO
98.6°	Inclination	74.07°
SMALL	Size	SMALL
ESA	Country	CIS
April 21, 1995	Launch date	June 16, 1993
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for ERS 2 DEB and COSMOS 2251 DEB.

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