COSMOS 1538 FENGYUN 1C DEB *

0.020% collision chance on 2025-11-04 16:11:25z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 1538 is risking orbital collision with FENGYUN 1C DEB *. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Nov. 4, 2025, 4:25 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.020%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 190.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 1538 in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-11-04 16:25:37z

CDM ID: 1216755512

Miss distance: 190.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.000203385 (~0.020%)

Last Updated: 1 month, 1 week ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 1538	Name	FENGYUN 1C DEB *
14759	Norad ID	46997
PAYLOAD	Type	DEBRIS
LEO	Orbit	SSO
74.04°	Inclination	98.56°
LARGE	Size	SMALL
CIS	Country	PRC
Feb. 21, 1984	Launch date	May 10, 1999
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 1538 and FENGYUN 1C DEB *.

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