FENGYUN 1C DEB * COSMOS 1538

0.020% collision chance on 2025-11-04 16:11:25z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

FENGYUN 1C DEB * is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1538. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Nov. 4, 2025, 4:25 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.020%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 190.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-11-04 16:25:37z

CDM ID: 1216816205

Miss distance: 190.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.000203385 (~0.020%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

FENGYUN 1C DEB * Name COSMOS 1538
46997 Norad ID 14759
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
SSO Orbit LEO
98.56° Inclination 74.04°
SMALL Size LARGE
PRC Country CIS
May 10, 1999 Launch date Feb. 21, 1984
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for FENGYUN 1C DEB * and COSMOS 1538.


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