ESSA 5 COSMOS 2491 DEB

0.017% collision chance on 2025-11-18 19:11:13z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

ESSA 5 is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2491 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Nov. 18, 2025, 7:13 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.017%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 231.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a payload

TCA: 2025-11-18 19:13:30z

CDM ID: 1233962057

Miss distance: 231.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.000167974 (~0.017%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

ESSA 5 Name COSMOS 2491 DEB
2757 Norad ID 45127
PAYLOAD Type DEBRIS
SSO Orbit LEO
101.98° Inclination 82.44°
MEDIUM Size SMALL
US Country CIS
April 20, 1967 Launch date Dec. 25, 2013
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for ESSA 5 and COSMOS 2491 DEB.


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