COSMOS 2491 DEB ESSA 5

0.017% collision chance on 2025-11-18 19:11:13z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2491 DEB is risking orbital collision with ESSA 5. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Nov. 18, 2025, 7:13 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.017%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 231.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-11-18 19:13:30z

CDM ID: 1233971608

Miss distance: 231.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.000167974 (~0.017%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2491 DEB Name ESSA 5
45127 Norad ID 2757
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
LEO Orbit SSO
82.44° Inclination 101.98°
SMALL Size MEDIUM
CIS Country US
Dec. 25, 2013 Launch date April 20, 1967
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2491 DEB and ESSA 5.


Newsletter sign-up

Weekly statistics, charts and insights to help you stay on top of the space industry.