CZ-4 DEB COSMOS 1486

0.045% collision chance on 2024-10-12 05:10:56z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-4 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1486. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 12, 2024, 5:56 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.045%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 202.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2024-10-12 05:56:22z

CDM ID: 837849774

Miss distance: 202.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0004539119 (~0.045%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-4 DEB Name COSMOS 1486
20912 Norad ID 14240
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
SSO Orbit LEO
98.53° Inclination 74.06°
SMALL Size LARGE
PRC Country CIS
Sept. 3, 1990 Launch date Aug. 3, 1983
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-4 DEB and COSMOS 1486.


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