COSMOS 1531 CZ-4 DEB

0.032% collision chance on 2024-10-16 05:10:32z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 1531 is risking orbital collision with CZ-4 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 16, 2024, 5:32 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.032%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 521.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a payload

TCA: 2024-10-16 05:32:45z

CDM ID: 839597120

Miss distance: 521.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0003235104 (~0.032%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 1531 Name CZ-4 DEB
14624 Norad ID 20892
PAYLOAD Type DEBRIS
LEO Orbit SSO
82.93° Inclination 98.93°
LARGE Size SMALL
CIS Country PRC
Jan. 11, 1984 Launch date Sept. 3, 1990
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 1531 and CZ-4 DEB.


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