COSMOS 1538 FENGYUN 1C DEB

0.011% collision chance on 2024-10-16 10:10:19z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 1538 is risking orbital collision with FENGYUN 1C DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 16, 2024, 10:19 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.011%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 785.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a payload

TCA: 2024-10-16 10:19:09z

CDM ID: 840790591

Miss distance: 785.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0001052634 (~0.011%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 1538 Name FENGYUN 1C DEB
14759 Norad ID 30976
PAYLOAD Type DEBRIS
LEO Orbit SSO
74.04° Inclination 99.13°
LARGE Size SMALL
CIS Country PRC
Feb. 21, 1984 Launch date May 10, 1999
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 1538 and FENGYUN 1C DEB.


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