FENGYUN 1C DEB COSMOS 1538

0.011% collision chance on 2024-10-16 10:10:19z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

FENGYUN 1C DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1538. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 16, 2024, 10:19 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.011%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 785.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2024-10-16 10:19:09z

CDM ID: 840806828

Miss distance: 785.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0001052634 (~0.011%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

FENGYUN 1C DEB Name COSMOS 1538
30976 Norad ID 14759
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
SSO Orbit LEO
99.13° Inclination 74.04°
SMALL Size LARGE
PRC Country CIS
May 10, 1999 Launch date Feb. 21, 1984
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for FENGYUN 1C DEB and COSMOS 1538.


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