CZ-2D R/B COSMOS 2251 DEB

0.016% collision chance on 2024-10-20 21:10:31z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

CZ-2D R/B is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 2251 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Oct. 20, 2024, 9:31 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.016%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 445.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a rocket body

TCA: 2024-10-20 21:31:25z

CDM ID: 845764690

Miss distance: 445.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0001616818 (~0.016%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

CZ-2D R/B Name COSMOS 2251 DEB
54215 Norad ID 33916
ROCKET BODY Type DEBRIS
LEO Orbit LEO
59.9° Inclination 74.05°
LARGE Size MEDIUM
PRC Country CIS
Oct. 29, 2022 Launch date June 16, 1993
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for CZ-2D R/B and COSMOS 2251 DEB.


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