COSMOS 2251 DEB COSMOS 972

0.038% collision chance on 2025-01-26 18:01:28z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 2251 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 972. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at Jan. 26, 2025, 6:28 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.038%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 775.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-01-26 18:28:30z

CDM ID: 924116363

Miss distance: 775.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.0003798785 (~0.038%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 2251 DEB Name COSMOS 972
34845 Norad ID 10539
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
LEO Orbit LEO
74.03° Inclination 75.84°
SMALL Size LARGE
CIS Country CIS
June 16, 1993 Launch date Dec. 27, 1977
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 2251 DEB and COSMOS 972.


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