COSMOS 1538 ARIANE 1 DEB

0.419% collision chance on 2025-04-11 20:04:07z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

COSMOS 1538 is risking orbital collision with ARIANE 1 DEB. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at April 11, 2025, 8:07 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.419%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 78.0 meters.

Note: this is the latest available calculation for this conjunction event. Access all the most updated CDMs for object COSMOS 1538 in its detailed page.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

TCA: 2025-04-11 20:07:46z

CDM ID: 992910503

Miss distance: 78.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.00418575 (~0.419%)

Last Updated: 3 weeks, 5 days ago

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

COSMOS 1538	Name	ARIANE 1 DEB
14759	Norad ID	35408
PAYLOAD	Type	DEBRIS
LEO	Orbit	SSO
74.04°	Inclination	98.38°
LARGE	Size	SMALL
CIS	Country	FR
Feb. 21, 1984	Launch date	Feb. 22, 1986
	Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for COSMOS 1538 and ARIANE 1 DEB.

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