ARIANE 1 DEB COSMOS 1538

0.419% collision chance on 2025-04-11 20:04:07z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

ARIANE 1 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1538. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at April 11, 2025, 8:07 p.m., with a collision probability of 0.419%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 78.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-04-11 20:07:46z

CDM ID: 992933766

Miss distance: 78.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.00418575 (~0.419%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

ARIANE 1 DEB Name COSMOS 1538
35408 Norad ID 14759
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
SSO Orbit LEO
98.38° Inclination 74.04°
SMALL Size LARGE
FR Country CIS
Feb. 22, 1986 Launch date Feb. 21, 1984
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for ARIANE 1 DEB and COSMOS 1538.


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