NOAA 16 DEB COSMOS 1954

0.017% collision chance on 2025-04-21 08:04:33z

CDM information

Conjunction Data Message description

NOAA 16 DEB is risking orbital collision with COSMOS 1954. The time of closest approach (TCA) between the two objects is calculated to be at April 21, 2025, 8:33 a.m., with a collision probability of 0.017%. The closest distance at TCA is estimated to be 570.0 meters.

Key information

Parameters and calculations for this potential in-orbit collision event.

CDM image for a debris

TCA: 2025-04-21 08:33:30z

CDM ID: 999911926

Miss distance: 570.0 (m)

Collision probability: 0.000167708 (~0.017%)

Objects comparison

A comparison of the two objects interested by this conjunction data message.

NOAA 16 DEB Name COSMOS 1954
41661 Norad ID 19256
DEBRIS Type PAYLOAD
SSO Orbit LEO
99.04° Inclination 74.05°
SMALL Size LARGE
US Country CIS
Sept. 21, 2000 Launch date June 21, 1988
Full details

Live tracking

Real-time ground track for NOAA 16 DEB and COSMOS 1954.


Newsletter sign-up

Weekly statistics, charts and insights to help you stay on top of the space industry.